The David Hume Institute The Royal Society of Edinburgh, 10 December2002 The Limits to Devolution: Some Results from the ESRC’s Research Programme on Devolution and Constitutional Change The Economic Consequences of the Barnett Formula for the Scottish Economy*

12/11/02


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Table of Contents

The David Hume Institute The Royal Society of Edinburgh, 10 December2002 The Limits to Devolution: Some Results from the ESRC’s Research Programme on Devolution and Constitutional Change The Economic Consequences of the Barnett Formula for the Scottish Economy*

Introduction

The Barnett Formula: Background

The Barnett Formula: Limitations of Existing Analyses

Barnett Equilibria

The Barnett Formula’s Impact on the Scottish Economy: Likely Direction of Effects

The Barnett Formula’s Impact on the Scottish Economy: Simulation Model & Results

Percentage Changes in Employment in Scotland Induced by Imposing Barnett Equilibrium

Conclusions & Focus of Future Research

Author: GARY GILLESPIE